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What if Hormuz Stays Closed for 3, 6 or 12 Months?
Cross-Asset Analysis of Sustained Extreme Oil Prices
Mar 26 • Manuel Ritsch
Software Sector Drawdown Regime Analysis
Fundamentals, Catalysts, and Risk Assessment
Mar 11 • Manuel Ritsch
VIX Under Oil Shock Regimes
Where Should VIX Trade? Lessons from $147 Oil
Mar 6 • Manuel Ritsch
South Korea: A Binary Bet on the Strait of Hormuz
South Korea's semiconductor supercycle meets geopolitical reality—why the world's hottest market just crashed 12% in a day and what history says comes…
Mar 5 • Manuel Ritsch
Oil Shock to Equity Returns
Strait of Hormuz Impact on Inflation and U.S Equity Returns
Mar 5 • Manuel Ritsch
Iran Crisis Historical Analog Analysis
U.S. Equity Forward Returns under Historical Middle East Geopolitical Shocks
Mar 2 • Manuel Ritsch

February 2026

European Equity Rally
Europe's Victory Lap—And Why It Probably Ends Here
Feb 27 • Manuel Ritsch
What Happens After Bitcoin Falls -45%?
What can investors expect over the next 3 to 12 months.
Feb 14 • Manuel Ritsch
Inflation Is Cooling — January US Inflation Update
What the CPI print means for equity returns, rate expectations, and the S&P 500’s risk‑reward from here
Feb 13 • Manuel Ritsch
U.S. Labor Tightness Persists
What a 4.3% unemployment rate means for global equities
Feb 13 • Manuel Ritsch
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