Alpha Rho Research

Alpha Rho Research

Research

Software Sector Drawdown Regime Analysis

Fundamentals, Catalysts, and Risk Assessment

Manuel Ritsch's avatar
Manuel Ritsch
Mar 11, 2026
∙ Paid

This analysis uses iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) to analyse US software sector performance.

Executive Summary

  • Drawdown Regime: IGV’s -34.7% trough depth places it in severe bear territory—exceeded only by dot-com, GFC, and 2022. Historical analogs imply 3+ years to full recovery, not quarters.

  • Fundamental Drivers: Three structural forces …

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