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Abundance Apocalypse (Hope I'm Wrong)
Why AI might be the Great Filter
May 27
•
Manuel Ritsch
5
1
Positioning for Uncertainty and Euphoria
Markets are priced for perfection. The fund is positioned for uncertainty.
May 12
•
Manuel Ritsch
What if Hormuz Stays Closed for 3, 6 or 12 Months?
Cross-Asset Analysis of Sustained Extreme Oil Prices
Mar 26
•
Manuel Ritsch
5
Software Sector Drawdown Regime Analysis
Fundamentals, Catalysts, and Risk Assessment
Mar 11
•
Manuel Ritsch
3
1
VIX Under Oil Shock Regimes
Where Should VIX Trade? Lessons from $147 Oil
Mar 6
•
Manuel Ritsch
4
Latest Research Notes
South Korea: A Binary Bet on the Strait of Hormuz
South Korea's semiconductor supercycle meets geopolitical reality—why the world's hottest market just crashed 12% in a day and what history says comes…
Mar 5
•
Manuel Ritsch
1
Oil Shock to Equity Returns
Strait of Hormuz Impact on Inflation and U.S Equity Returns
Mar 5
•
Manuel Ritsch
Iran Crisis Historical Analog Analysis
U.S. Equity Forward Returns under Historical Middle East Geopolitical Shocks
Mar 2
•
Manuel Ritsch
1
European Equity Rally
Europe's Victory Lap—And Why It Probably Ends Here
Feb 27
•
Manuel Ritsch
2
What Happens After Bitcoin Falls -45%?
What can investors expect over the next 3 to 12 months.
Feb 14
•
Manuel Ritsch
1
Inflation Is Cooling — January US Inflation Update
What the CPI print means for equity returns, rate expectations, and the S&P 500’s risk‑reward from here
Feb 13
•
Manuel Ritsch
2
U.S. Labor Tightness Persists
What a 4.3% unemployment rate means for global equities
Feb 13
•
Manuel Ritsch
1
Alpha Rho Research
Global Macro Research
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Top posts
What if Hormuz Stays Closed for 3, 6 or 12 Months?
Mar 26
•
Manuel Ritsch
5
Abundance Apocalypse (Hope I'm Wrong)
May 27
•
Manuel Ritsch
5
1
VIX Under Oil Shock Regimes
Mar 6
•
Manuel Ritsch
4
Software Sector Drawdown Regime Analysis
Mar 11
•
Manuel Ritsch
3
1
What Happens After Bitcoin Falls -45%?
Feb 14
•
Manuel Ritsch
1
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